[태그:] Dow50K

  • [2026.02.06] Today’s US Market Forecast: Sunny! Dow 50K Breakout & QLD +4.16% Rebound Report


    When will my “Tomato System” (Portfolio) finally turn into a field of ripe, red profits (positive returns)? If today’s momentum continues, I believe that day is just around the corner.

    I think today’s market can be perfectly expressed with this song: “Fly Me to the Moon” (Frank Sinatra) 🎵 Leaving yesterday’s fears behind, today feels like a celebration of the Dow 50,000 era, as if we’ve been launched toward the moon.

    Hello, this is JSCC2020. The US stock market has reached a historic milestone. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed the 50,000 point mark for the first time in history, sparking a powerful rally. The Nasdaq (+2.18%) and S&P 500 (+1.97%) surged in tandem, brushing off yesterday’s decline. In particular, our portfolio’s QLD jumped by +4.16%, leading the charge in our recovery.

    [Notice] For the best viewing experience, we recommend viewing the tables in this post in landscape mode on your smartphone.

    🌐 Today’s Market Pulse: 3 Key Drivers

    1. A Historic Moment: Dow 50,000: The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at an all-time high of 50,115.67, opening a new chapter for US equities. This has injected strong “bullish confidence” into the entire market. (Source: WSJ, CNBC)
    2. Tech Dip-Buying Frenzy: The Nasdaq Index closed at 23,031.21, rebounding by 2.18%. Renewed earnings expectations for AI-related stocks, led by NVIDIA, drove the index upward. (Source: Reuters, Bloomberg)
    3. Interest Rate Path Stability: As the Fed maintains its neutral stance on interest rates, pressure on high-valuation tech stocks has eased, leading to a clear preference for risk assets. (Source: J.P. Morgan, Yahoo Finance)

    📊 Portfolio Performance by Strategy Group (Day 11 Update)

    Here is a breakdown of the Daily Change and My Return for our holdings, categorized by strategy.

    1. [Group 1] Nasdaq 100 Focused (Tech & Growth)

    This group benefited most directly from the Nasdaq’s +2.18% rebound.

    TickerETF NameStrategyDaily ChgMy Return
    QLDProShares 2x Nasdaq 1002x Leverage+4.16%-4.38%
    QQQMInvesco Nasdaq 100Index+2.11%-2.03%
    GPIQGS Nasdaq-100 Core PremiumCovered Call+2.02%-2.25%
    QQQINEOS Nasdaq 100 High Inc.Covered Call+1.98%-2.37%
    JEPQJPMorgan Nasdaq EquityCovered Call+1.97%-1.80%
    418660TIGER US Nasdaq 100 Lev2x Leverage-3.48%*-8.15%
    494300KODEX US Nasdaq 100 DailyCovered Call-0.96%*-4.06%

    2. [Group 2] S&P 500 Focused (Broad Market)

    Major holdings showed a steady recovery trend within the broad market upturn.

    TickerETF NameStrategyDaily ChgMy Return
    SSOProShares 2x S&P 5002x Leverage+3.85%-1.45%
    SPYMSPDR S&P 500 PortfolioIndex+1.96%-0.47%
    GPIXGS S&P 500 Core PremiumCovered Call+1.77%-1.25%
    JEPIJPMorgan Equity PremiumCovered Call+1.49%+0.87%

    3. [Group 3] Dividend, Bond & Specialty (Defensive)

    This group supports the portfolio’s floor, delivering consistent performance.

    TickerETF NameStrategyDaily ChgMy Return
    SCHDSchwab US Dividend EquityDiv. Growth+1.61%+7.65%
    490600RISE US Div 100 DailyCovered Call+0.05%+1.88%
    473330SOL US 30Yr TreasuryCovered Call+1.09%-0.96%
    473460KODEX US Stock AntActive-3.32%*-11.03%

    *Note: Korean-listed ETFs (KODEX, TIGER, etc.) reflect Friday’s close; the US market’s rally will be priced in when the Korean market opens on Monday.

    🔍 Day 11 Insights: Recovery Resilience Toward “Green”

    1. Leverage’s Massive Momentum: As noted, QLD surged +4.16%, bringing my return up to -4.38%. This is the kind of recovery resilience only those who endured yesterday’s dip can experience.
    2. Strength of Covered Calls & Dividends: Despite market volatility, SCHD (+7.65%) and JEPI (+0.87%) are already holding onto positive returns, acting as the anchor for the entire account.
    3. 🇰🇷 Monday Korean Market Outlook: The current figures for domestic ETFs do not yet reflect Friday night’s US explosion. A strong gap-up open is expected on Monday morning, so the moment our account turns fully “green” (positive) seems very close.

    💡 Final Thoughts

    In the era of Dow 50,000, we will continue to pursue a strategy focused on Cash Flow until the Tomato System is fully in the black. While prices may fluctuate, the dividends we collect continue to stack up.