[태그:] ETFComparison

  • 2026 US ETF Strategy: Leverage vs. Covered

    Compare Nasdaq & S&P 500 ETF returns (QLD, SSO, SCHD, JEPI) in Feb 2026. Analysis of leverage vs. income.

    Introduction: The Dynamics of the Day 11 Market Rally

    Welcome to JSCC2020. Following the volatility of early February, the market delivered a resounding “V-shaped” recovery on February 6, 2026. The Nasdaq Composite surged +2.18%, reclaiming the psychological 23,000 level, while the S&P 500 rose +1.97%, edging closer to the historic 7,000 milestone.

    For international investors navigating the “Tomato System,” today provided a masterclass in why we diversify across three distinct pillars: Aggressive LeveragePassive Index, and Defensive Income (Covered Calls). This 2,000-character deep-dive will break down the mechanics behind today’s profit recovery and how the “Cash Shield” protects your principal.

    📱 Notice: For the best viewing experience, please view the tables in landscape mode on your smartphone.

    🌐 Market Pulse: 3 Critical Drivers for February 2026

    1. Dow Jones Industrial Average Breakthrough: The Dow hit a historic high of 50,115.67 (+2.47%). This rally was spearheaded by strong Q4 earnings from blue-chip industrial and financial sectors, indicating a healthy rotation into value stocks. (Source: Bloomberg / CNBC)
    2. AI Infrastructure Spending Optimism: Despite recent Capex concerns from Alphabet and Amazon, fresh data suggests AI integration is finally improving enterprise productivity margins. This triggered a massive short-covering rally in the tech-heavy Nasdaq. (Source: Reuters / Wall Street Journal)
    3. Monetary Policy Stability: Fed Chair signals suggest a “higher-for-longer” stance but without further tightening. This neutral environment stabilized the 10-year Treasury yield, providing a solid foundation for growth assets. (Source: J.P. Morgan / Investing.com)

    📊 Comprehensive Performance Report (Feb 6, 2026)

    1. [Group: Nasdaq 100] Tech & Growth Focus

    TickerETF NameStrategyDaily ChgMy Return (P/L)
    QLDProShares Ultra QQQ2x Leverage+4.16%-4.38%
    QQQMInvesco Nasdaq 100Index+2.11%-2.03%
    GPIQGS Nasdaq 100 Core PremiumCovered Call+2.02%-2.25%
    JEPQJPMorgan Nasdaq PremiumCovered Call+1.97%-1.80%
    QQQINEOS Nasdaq 100 High IncCovered Call+1.98%-2.37%
    494300KODEX US Nasdaq100 DailyCovered Call-0.96%*-4.06%

    2. [Group: S&P 500] Market Core & Broad Exposure

    TickerETF NameStrategyDaily ChgMy Return (P/L)
    SSOProShares Ultra S&P 5002x Leverage+3.85%-1.45%
    SPYMSPDR S&P 500 PortfolioIndex+1.96%-0.47%
    GPIXGS S&P 500 Core PremiumCovered Call+1.77%-1.25%
    JEPIJPMorgan Equity PremiumCovered Call+1.49%+0.87%

    3. [Group: Others] Dividends, Bonds & Active

    TickerETF NameStrategyDaily ChgMy Return (P/L)
    SCHDSchwab US Dividend EquityDiv. Growth+1.61%+7.65%
    418660TIGER US Nasdaq 100 Lev2x Leverage-3.48%*-8.15%
    473460KODEX US Stock AntActive-3.32%*-11.03%
    473330SOL US 30Yr TreasuryCovered Call+1.09%*-0.96%
    490600RISE US Div 100 DailyCovered Call+0.05%*+1.88%

    *Note: K-ETFs reflect the previous day’s close. Expect a significant Gap-up at the Korean market open.

    🔍 Strategy Deep-Dive: Why This Balance Works

    1. The Recovery Engine: 2x Leverage Efficiency

    Today’s performance highlights the utility of QLD (+4.16%) and SSO (+3.85%). When the underlying index rises by ~2%, these instruments double that gain, allowing for rapid Net Asset Value (NAV) recovery. This “volatility harvesting” is crucial for investors who maintained their positions during the January dips. Without leverage, your recovery speed is halved, missing out on the exponential bounce-back of the tech sector.

    2. The Income Shield: Dividend Growth & Premiums

    SCHD remains our primary defensive anchor with a total return of +7.65%. Its decoupling from tech-sector volatility provides the stability needed to hold higher-risk assets. Simultaneously, covered call ETFs like JEPI and JEPQ generate monthly “rent” (dividends). Currently, our account shows 8 dividend payments totaling 2,495 KRW for February alone. This cash flow allows for “Buy the Dip” opportunities without selling existing shares at a loss.

    3. The K-ETF Opportunity (Arbitrage Alert)

    International investors should pay close attention to the Korean Market Open. Domestic ETFs like TIGER US Nasdaq 100 Lev (418660) are currently showing a technical decline of -3.48% from yesterday’s session. However, following the US market’s +4% rally in QLD, these K-ETFs are primed for a massive “Gap-up” surge at 9:00 AM KST. This time-zone lag often creates a psychological “false red” that clever investors use to their advantage.

    ❓ FAQ for Global Investors

    • Q: Why is my QLD still down -4.38% despite today’s +4.16% gain?
    • A: This is due to “Volatility Decay.” Leverage ETFs require a larger percentage gain to recover from a percentage loss (e.g., a 10% drop requires an 11.1% gain to break even).
    • Q: Is it wise to hold both QQQM and JEPQ?
    • A: Yes. QQQM captures maximum capital appreciation, while JEPQ provides high monthly income with lower volatility. This balance is the core of the Tomato System.
    • Q: What determines the “Daily Change” in my Korean ETFs?
    • A: It reflects the change from 09:00 to 15:30 KST. Since the US market opens later, the massive US gains you see tonight will only be reflected in the Korean market tomorrow morning.
  • [2026.02.09] 나스닥 -1.59% 급락: 쏟아지는 비를 막아줄 ‘현금 방패’는 건재한가?

    안녕하세요 JSCC2020입니다. 오늘은 **볼빨간사춘기의 ‘우주를 줄게’**라는 노래로 증시를 표현할 수 있겠네요. 커피를 너무 많이 마신 것처럼 시장의 변동성에 심장이 두근거리지만, 우리가 꿈꾸는 경제적 자유라는 ‘별’을 따기 위해 이 출렁임도 기꺼이 견뎌내야 하니까요.

    벌써 투자 11일차에 접어들었습니다. 나스닥 지수가 -1.59% 하락하며 시장에 긴장감이 감돌고 있네요. 레버리지 상품은 날카로운 통증을 주지만, 커버드콜과 배당주라는 우산이 얼마나 소중한지 다시금 깨닫는 하루입니다.

    [공지] 스마트폰으로 보시는 분들은 표를 더 편하게 확인하시기 위해 가로 모드로 보시는 것을 추천드립니다.

    🌐 오늘의 시장 맥박 (Market Pulse)

    오늘의 **원/달러 환율은 1,468.10원(+0.30%)**으로 마감하며 상승세를 이어갔습니다. 환율 상승은 국내 상장 미국 ETF 보유자에게는 환차익이라는 ‘천연 방패’가 되어주기도 합니다.

    1. 기술주 중심의 매도세 (-1.59%): 마이크로소프트와 AMD 등 AI 대장주들의 향후 수익성 전망에 대한 불확실성이 커지면서 나스닥을 끌어내렸습니다. (출처: Reuters / CNBC)
    2. 금리 동결 여파: 미 연준(Fed)의 금리 동결 유지 기조 속에 고평가된 기술주에서 가치주로의 자금 이동이 가속화되고 있습니다. (출처: Wall Street Journal)
    3. 지정학적 리스크 재부각: 중동 지역의 긴장 재확산 소식이 전해지며 위험 자산 회피 심리가 강화되었습니다. (출처: Financial Times)

    1. [Group 1] 나스닥 100 관련 ETF (나스닥 그룹)

    기술주의 심장부인 나스닥 100 지수를 추종하거나 이를 활용한 전략 상품들입니다.

    종목명전략현재가당일 등락내 수익률
    INVESCO 나스닥 100 (QQQM)지수 추종$245.83-1.42%-4.55%
    프로셰어즈 QQQ 2배 (QLD)2배 레버리지$66.04-2.85%-9.03%
    JP모건 나스닥 프리미엄 (JEPQ)커버드콜$56.93-1.30%-4.12%
    네오스 나스닥100 고배당 (QQQI)커버드콜$52.02-1.27%-1.92%
    골드만삭스 나스닥100 코어 (GPIQ)커버드콜$50.92-1.36%-4.84%
    KODEX 미국나스닥100데일리커버드콜9,800₩+0.96%-4.06%
    TIGER 미국나스닥100레버리지2배 레버리지32,820₩-3.48%-8.15%
    KODEX 미국나스닥100지수 추종23,885₩-1.63%-4.30%

    2. [Group 2] S&P 500 및 시장 광범위 ETF (S&P 그룹)

    나스닥보다는 상대적으로 방어력이 돋보이는 혼합형 그룹입니다.

    종목명전략현재가당일 등락내 수익률
    SPDR S&P500 포트폴리오 (SPYM)지수 추종$79.71-1.28%-0.01%
    프로셰어즈 S&P500 2배 (SSO)2배 레버리지$56.81-2.52%-2.78%
    JP모건 에퀴티 프리미엄 (JEPI)커버드콜$58.24-0.58%+2.08%
    골드만삭스 S&P500 코어 (GPIX)커버드콜$51.89-1.12%-0.30%
    KODEX 미국서학개미액티브21,435₩-3.32%-11.03%

    3. [Group 3] 배당성장 및 특수 ETF (나머지 그룹)

    하락장에서 진가를 발휘하는 ‘우산’ 역할을 톡톡히 해주는 종목들입니다.

    종목명전략현재가당일 등락내 수익률
    슈왑 미국 배당주 (SCHD)배당 성장$30.97-0.13%+5.84%
    RISE 미국배당100데일리커버드콜9,435₩+0.05%+1.88%
    SOL 미국30년국채커버드콜9,260₩+1.09%-0.96%

    4. 11일차 분석: “누가 비를 덜 맞았나?”

    • 🏆 오늘의 영웅: JEPI & SCHD 나스닥이 -1.59% 빠지는 동안 **JEPI(-0.58%)**와 **SCHD(-0.13%)**는 놀라운 방어력을 보여주었습니다. 특히 제 계좌에서 SCHD는 +5.84%, **JEPI는 +2.08%**의 수익률을 유지하며 11일차 항해의 든든한 버팀목이 되어주고 있네요.
    • 🛡️ 커버드콜의 반전: RISE 미국배당100 국내 상장된 RISE 미국배당100 데일리 커버드콜은 오히려 +0.05% 상승 마감했습니다. 하락장에서 옵션 프리미엄과 환율 효과가 결합되어 계좌의 변동성을 줄여준 일등 공신입니다.
    • ❌ 오늘의 아픔: QLD & TIGER 레버리지 지수가 하락할 때 레버리지의 칼날은 무섭습니다. **QLD(-2.85%)**와 **TIGER 레버리지(-3.48%)**는 하락폭을 배로 키우며 수익률에 큰 타격을 주었습니다. 하락장에서는 배당이 없어 ‘버티는 힘’이 부족한 것이 체감됩니다.

    5. 결론: “현금 흐름이라는 별을 향해서”

    11일차에 접어들며 계좌 숫자가 파란색으로 변할 때마다 마음이 흔들리지만, 우리는 매월 들어오는 현금 흐름에 집중해야 합니다. QQQI, JEPQ 같은 커버드콜 종목들이 만들어낼 현금은 하락장에서 우리가 싸게 주식을 더 살 수 있는 ‘총알’이 되어줄 것입니다.

    우주를 줄 수는 없어도, 튼튼한 포트폴리오로 안정적인 미래는 만들 수 있습니다. 내일은 다시 반등의 서막이 열리길 기대하며, 함께 성투하시죠!

  • [2026.02.05] Nasdaq & S&P 500 Strategy Grouping: Day 10 Investment Insights

    Hello, this is JSCC2020. We have officially reached Day 10 of our investment journey. While the 10th day is often seen as a milestone, today’s market delivered a stern reminder of the volatility inherent in US tech stocks. The Nasdaq closed down -1.59%, and the S&P 500 followed with a -1.23% decline.

    For international investors navigating the “Tomato System,” these are the days where your “Cash Shield”—the defensive income from dividends and premiums—proves its worth. Let’s break down the data to see how our Leverage, Index, and Covered Call groups performed.

    [Notice] For the best viewing experience, we recommend viewing the tables in this post in landscape mode on your smartphone.

    🌐 Today’s Market Pulse: 3 Key Drivers

    • Big Tech Capex Shock: Investor sentiment turned cautious as Alphabet (Google) and Amazon revealed massive capital expenditure plans for AI infrastructure (Alphabet’s 2026 Capex is projected near $185 billion). Markets are increasingly demanding proof that this record spending is translating into immediate bottom-line growth. (Source: News1 / Reuters)
    • Labor Market Cooling: A jump in unemployment benefit applications and discouraging job market reports triggered a “risk-off” sentiment. This led to a sharp sell-off in growth assets and even caused Bitcoin to plunge as investors moved toward cash and defensive bonds. (Source: AP News / Investopedia)
    • The Fed’s Neutral Stance: The Federal Reserve has maintained interest rates at 3.5%–3.75%. While rate cuts occurred in late 2025, the current pause suggests a slower path to normalization, putting pressure on high-valuation software and semiconductor stocks like Qualcomm and AMD. (Source: J.P. Morgan / Schwab)

    📊 Portfolio Performance by Strategy Group (Day 10)

    This table organizes every stock in the portfolio, including domestic Korean ETFs and US-listed holdings.

    1. [Group 1] Nasdaq 100 Focused (Tech & Growth)

    TickerETF NameStrategyDaily ChgMy Return
    QLDProShares 2x Nasdaq 1002x Leverage-2.85%-10.16%
    494300KODEX US Nasdaq100 DailyCovered Call-1.89%-2.79%
    QQQMInvesco Nasdaq 100Index-1.42%-5.07%
    GPIQGS Nasdaq-100 CoreCovered Call-1.36%-5.07%
    JEPQJPMorgan Nasdaq EquityCovered Call-1.30%-4.71%
    QQQINEOS Nasdaq 100 High Inc.Covered Call-1.27%-5.37%

    2. [Group 2] S&P 500 Focused (Broad Market)

    TickerETF NameStrategyDaily ChgMy Return
    SSOProShares 2x S&P 5002x Leverage-2.52%-5.99%
    SPYMSPDR S&P 500 PortfolioIndex-1.28%-2.95%
    GPIXGS S&P 500 Core PremiumCovered Call-1.12%-3.37%
    JEPIJPMorgan Equity PremiumCovered Call-0.58%-0.62%

    3. [Group 3] Dividend, Bond & Specialty

    TickerETF NameStrategyDaily ChgMy Return
    473460KODEX US Stock Ant (Active)Active-2.05%-5.31%
    490600RISE US Div 100 DailyCovered Call-0.34%-0.59%
    SCHDSchwab US Dividend EquityDiv. Growth-0.13%+5.77%
    473330SOL US 30Yr TreasuryCovered Call-0.12%-2.44%

    🔍 Day 10 Insights: Protection in Action

    • Leverage Vulnerability: Today clearly showed the risk of QLD and SSO. With a -10.16% total return on QLD, the lack of dividends means there is no “safety net” when the index slides.
    • The Yield Shield: While the Nasdaq dropped sharply, Covered Call ETFs like JEPI (-0.58%) and RISE US Div 100 (-0.34%) showed much higher stability. The premiums earned from selling volatility act as a buffer against price depreciation.
    • Dividend Growth Reliability: SCHD remains our portfolio anchor, maintaining a positive +5.77% return despite the broad market sell-off. It continues to demonstrate why it is a legendary defensive asset.

    💡 Final Thought: Focus on the Cash Flow

    Market prices fluctuate, but our 2026 yield targets remain the focus. Even on a down day, your Covered Call holdings are busy generating the “rent” that will fund your future “buy the dip” opportunities.

  • [2026.02.04] Nasdaq -1.51% Drop: Day 10 Insights—Is the “Cash Shield” Strong Enough?


    Hello, this is JSCC2020. I have officially reached Day 10 of my investment journey. They say the first ten days are usually a honeymoon phase, but for me, it has been a trial by fire. Between the restless nights watching Tomato System slide and the current volatility in the US market, I’m learning firsthand that the market doesn’t care about your “start date.”

    However, today I’m turning up Eminem’s ‘Not Afraid’. As the lyrics say, “I’m not afraid to take a stand.” Even with the Nasdaq dropping -1.51%, I refuse to run. We look at the data, adjust our umbrellas, and stand our ground. Today’s performance highlights the massive gap between “high-risk” Leverage and “defensive” Covered Call strategies.

    [Notice] For the best viewing experience, we recommend viewing the tables in this post in landscape mode on your smartphone.

    🌐 Today’s Market Pulse

    1. Why the Nasdaq Fell (-1.51%): The primary trigger was a tech-driven selloff sparked by disappointing AI infrastructure spending signals from giants like Microsoft and a revenue forecast miss by AMD. (Source: Bloomberg / AP News)
    2. Geopolitical Friction: Sentiment soured further after reports of renewed tensions regarding Middle East nuclear deals, causing a “risk-off” shift toward gold and defensive sectors. (Source: Economic Times)
    3. The Fed Factor: Uncertainty remains high as the Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady (3.5%–3.75%), with investors rotating out of richly valued tech into value stocks like SCHD. (Source: Investopedia)

    1. [Group 1] Nasdaq 100 Focused ETFs

    This group tracks the tech-heavy heart of the market, where the most heat is felt.

    Ticker / NameStrategyPriceDaily ChgMy Return2026 Proj. Yield
    QQQMNasdaq 100 Index$250.24-1.75%-2.25%~0.50%
    QLD2x Leverage$68.43-3.51%-4.73%0.00%
    JEPQCovered Call$57.94-1.60%-2.02%~10.60%
    QQQICovered Call$52.95-1.53%-2.57%~13.70%
    GPIQCovered Call$51.98-1.54%-2.29%~9.80%
    KODEX Nasdaq100 Daily CCCovered Call9,930₩-2.79%~20.0%

    2. [Group 2] S&P 500 & Broad Market ETFs

    A more balanced approach, showing better resilience than the pure tech sector.

    Ticker / NameStrategyPriceDaily ChgMy Return2026 Proj. Yield
    SPYMS&P 500 Index$80.94-0.46%-0.84%~1.20%
    SSO2x Leverage$58.59-1.00%-1.85%0.00%
    JEPICovered Call$58.60+0.55%+0.03%~8.50%
    GPIXCovered Call$52.62-0.46%-1.34%~8.10%
    KODEX US Index (Ant)Active22,815₩-5.31%~1.00%

    3. [Group 3] Dividend Growth & Specialized ETFs

    The “Umbrellas” of the portfolio that stood firm while others melted.

    Ticker / NameStrategyPriceDaily ChgMy Return2026 Proj. Yield
    SCHDDiv. Growth$31.01+1.67%+6.05%~3.80%
    RISE US Div 100 CCCovered Call9,205₩-0.59%~13.0%
    SOL US 30Yr Treasury CCCovered Call9,075₩-2.44%~12.0%

    4. Day 10 Winners & Victims: “The Reality Check”

    • 🏆 Today’s Hero: SCHD (+1.67%) On my 10th day, SCHD proved why it is a legend. While the Nasdaq was bleeding, SCHD staged a brilliant rally. With an expected 2026 yield of ~3.8%, it is the perfect antidote for the trauma caused by individual stocks.
    • 🛡️ Defensive MVP: JEPI (+0.55%) The power of Covered Calls shines when tech slumps. JEPI actually gained value today, serving as the ultimate portfolio anchor and providing a ~8.5% cash shield.
    • ❌ Today’s Victim: QLD (-3.51%) The lesson is clear: when the market turns sour, Leverage accelerates your pain. These funds pay zero dividends, leaving you with no safety net during a drop.

    5. Final Thought: “Trust the Cash Flow”

    Even if your account balance feels like it’s melting, stay focused on the 2026 projections. ETFs like QQQI and KODEX Daily CC are projected to yield massive double-digit returns. This monthly cash flow is what will allow us to survive the Tomato System disaster and “buy the dip” on Day 11 and beyond.

    Just like Eminem’s track, let’s walk this path together without fear. We have the cash flow to survive the storm. See you in the next update!

  • [Feb 4, 2026] Portfolio “Melting” Like Butter? Leveraged vs. Covered Call ETF Survival Guide

    Hello, this is JSCC2020. To be honest, I’m writing this with a heavy heart. My nights have been restless lately, haunted by the relentless slide of Tomato System. Seeing a major holding crumble like that is a special kind of pain that keeps you up staring at the ceiling. I turned to the US market for a breather, but with the Nasdaq dropping -1.43% today, it feels like there’s no place to hide from the rain.
    Today, BTS’s ‘Butter’ keeps playing in my head. I wish my profits would rise “smooth like butter,” but instead, it’s my account balance that’s melting away on a hot pan. In this volatile market, the gap between Leveraged ETFs and Covered Call ETFs has become a literal canyon. Let’s look at the numbers.

    [Notice] For the best viewing experience, we recommend viewing the tables in this post in landscape mode on your smartphone.

    🌐 Today’s Market Pulse

    1. Nasdaq Slumps 1.43%: High-valuation tech stocks are under immense pressure as uncertainty grows. The Nasdaq Composite closed at 23,255.91 (-1.43%).
    2. The Leverage Trap: In a downward-trending market, leveraged ETFs act as an accelerant for losses, turning a bad day into a nightmare for many portfolios.
    3. Rotation to Value: While tech “melts,” capital is visibly rotating into high-quality dividend payers and value stocks that offer a sturdier “umbrella” against the storm.

    1. [Group 1] Nasdaq 100 Focus: Index vs. Leverage vs. Covered Call

    TickerStrategyPrice ($)Daily ReturnStatusAnalysis
    QQQMPassive Index253.25-1.55%📉 DownPure exposure to the Nasdaq 100’s decline.
    QLD2x Leverage70.22-3.12%🌪️ DangerToday’s Loser. Doubling the pain of the tech slide.
    JEPQCovered Call58.64-0.84%🛡️ ShieldDefended significantly better than the raw index.
    GPIQCovered Call52.42-1.46%⚠️ NeutralTracking the index drop but providing income.
    QQQICovered Call53.49-1.58%💰 IncomePrice is down, but the 10%+ yield remains a buffer.

    2. [Group 2] S&P 500 & Dividend Growth Comparison

    TickerStrategyPrice ($)Daily ReturnStatusAnalysis
    SPYMPassive Index81.07-0.68%⚖️ StablePerformed better than tech-heavy Nasdaq.
    SSO2x Leverage58.76-1.57%📉 DownLeverage magnifying even moderate index losses.
    JEPICovered Call58.34-0.40%⚓ AnchorThe ultimate defensive play in a volatile market.
    GPIXCovered Call52.56-1.46%🧱 SupportUnder pressure, but active management generates cash.
    SCHDDiv. Growth30.49+4.23%🏆 HeroToday’s Winner. Standing tall while tech melts.

    3. Winners & Losers: “Ice Flowers in a Melting Market”

    • 🏆 Today’s Hero: SCHD (+4.23%) While the Nasdaq was bleeding -1.43%, SCHD staged a miraculous rally. It’s the perfect antidote for the trauma caused by individual stocks like Tomato System. This is why we hold quality value stocks.
    • 🛡️ Defensive MVP: JEPQ & JEPI (Covered Calls) The power of Covered Calls shines in “sideways to down” markets. JEPQ capping its loss at -0.84% when its underlying index dropped far more proves that the option premium is a real shield.
    • ❌ Today’s Victim: QLD (-3.12%, Leverage) When the market turns sour, leverage is “Butter” in the sun. It disappears fast. Unless you have high conviction in a V-shaped recovery, the decay here is brutal.

    4. Investment Insights: “Stay Smooth, Stay Strategic”

    Even when your account feels like it’s melting, stay focused on the plan:

    • Rebalance Away from Heat: If your tech leverage is hurting, consider shifting a portion into SCHD or JEPI to build a more resilient foundation.
    • The Income Engine: Use the monthly dividends from JEPQ and QQQI to “buy the dip” in high-quality assets without injecting new capital.
    • Mental Resilience: The pain of Tomato System is real, but a diversified ETF portfolio is designed to outlive any single-stock disaster.

    Let’s hope for a “Smooth” recovery soon. Until then, keep your umbrellas up and your dividends reinvested. See you in the next update!