[태그:] Nasdaq

  • [2026.02.06] Today’s US Market Forecast: Sunny! Dow 50K Breakout & QLD +4.16% Rebound Report


    When will my “Tomato System” (Portfolio) finally turn into a field of ripe, red profits (positive returns)? If today’s momentum continues, I believe that day is just around the corner.

    I think today’s market can be perfectly expressed with this song: “Fly Me to the Moon” (Frank Sinatra) 🎵 Leaving yesterday’s fears behind, today feels like a celebration of the Dow 50,000 era, as if we’ve been launched toward the moon.

    Hello, this is JSCC2020. The US stock market has reached a historic milestone. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed the 50,000 point mark for the first time in history, sparking a powerful rally. The Nasdaq (+2.18%) and S&P 500 (+1.97%) surged in tandem, brushing off yesterday’s decline. In particular, our portfolio’s QLD jumped by +4.16%, leading the charge in our recovery.

    [Notice] For the best viewing experience, we recommend viewing the tables in this post in landscape mode on your smartphone.

    🌐 Today’s Market Pulse: 3 Key Drivers

    1. A Historic Moment: Dow 50,000: The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at an all-time high of 50,115.67, opening a new chapter for US equities. This has injected strong “bullish confidence” into the entire market. (Source: WSJ, CNBC)
    2. Tech Dip-Buying Frenzy: The Nasdaq Index closed at 23,031.21, rebounding by 2.18%. Renewed earnings expectations for AI-related stocks, led by NVIDIA, drove the index upward. (Source: Reuters, Bloomberg)
    3. Interest Rate Path Stability: As the Fed maintains its neutral stance on interest rates, pressure on high-valuation tech stocks has eased, leading to a clear preference for risk assets. (Source: J.P. Morgan, Yahoo Finance)

    📊 Portfolio Performance by Strategy Group (Day 11 Update)

    Here is a breakdown of the Daily Change and My Return for our holdings, categorized by strategy.

    1. [Group 1] Nasdaq 100 Focused (Tech & Growth)

    This group benefited most directly from the Nasdaq’s +2.18% rebound.

    TickerETF NameStrategyDaily ChgMy Return
    QLDProShares 2x Nasdaq 1002x Leverage+4.16%-4.38%
    QQQMInvesco Nasdaq 100Index+2.11%-2.03%
    GPIQGS Nasdaq-100 Core PremiumCovered Call+2.02%-2.25%
    QQQINEOS Nasdaq 100 High Inc.Covered Call+1.98%-2.37%
    JEPQJPMorgan Nasdaq EquityCovered Call+1.97%-1.80%
    418660TIGER US Nasdaq 100 Lev2x Leverage-3.48%*-8.15%
    494300KODEX US Nasdaq 100 DailyCovered Call-0.96%*-4.06%

    2. [Group 2] S&P 500 Focused (Broad Market)

    Major holdings showed a steady recovery trend within the broad market upturn.

    TickerETF NameStrategyDaily ChgMy Return
    SSOProShares 2x S&P 5002x Leverage+3.85%-1.45%
    SPYMSPDR S&P 500 PortfolioIndex+1.96%-0.47%
    GPIXGS S&P 500 Core PremiumCovered Call+1.77%-1.25%
    JEPIJPMorgan Equity PremiumCovered Call+1.49%+0.87%

    3. [Group 3] Dividend, Bond & Specialty (Defensive)

    This group supports the portfolio’s floor, delivering consistent performance.

    TickerETF NameStrategyDaily ChgMy Return
    SCHDSchwab US Dividend EquityDiv. Growth+1.61%+7.65%
    490600RISE US Div 100 DailyCovered Call+0.05%+1.88%
    473330SOL US 30Yr TreasuryCovered Call+1.09%-0.96%
    473460KODEX US Stock AntActive-3.32%*-11.03%

    *Note: Korean-listed ETFs (KODEX, TIGER, etc.) reflect Friday’s close; the US market’s rally will be priced in when the Korean market opens on Monday.

    🔍 Day 11 Insights: Recovery Resilience Toward “Green”

    1. Leverage’s Massive Momentum: As noted, QLD surged +4.16%, bringing my return up to -4.38%. This is the kind of recovery resilience only those who endured yesterday’s dip can experience.
    2. Strength of Covered Calls & Dividends: Despite market volatility, SCHD (+7.65%) and JEPI (+0.87%) are already holding onto positive returns, acting as the anchor for the entire account.
    3. 🇰🇷 Monday Korean Market Outlook: The current figures for domestic ETFs do not yet reflect Friday night’s US explosion. A strong gap-up open is expected on Monday morning, so the moment our account turns fully “green” (positive) seems very close.

    💡 Final Thoughts

    In the era of Dow 50,000, we will continue to pursue a strategy focused on Cash Flow until the Tomato System is fully in the black. While prices may fluctuate, the dividends we collect continue to stack up.

  • [2026.02.05] Nasdaq & S&P 500 Strategy Grouping: Day 10 Investment Insights

    Hello, this is JSCC2020. We have officially reached Day 10 of our investment journey. While the 10th day is often seen as a milestone, today’s market delivered a stern reminder of the volatility inherent in US tech stocks. The Nasdaq closed down -1.59%, and the S&P 500 followed with a -1.23% decline.

    For international investors navigating the “Tomato System,” these are the days where your “Cash Shield”—the defensive income from dividends and premiums—proves its worth. Let’s break down the data to see how our Leverage, Index, and Covered Call groups performed.

    [Notice] For the best viewing experience, we recommend viewing the tables in this post in landscape mode on your smartphone.

    🌐 Today’s Market Pulse: 3 Key Drivers

    • Big Tech Capex Shock: Investor sentiment turned cautious as Alphabet (Google) and Amazon revealed massive capital expenditure plans for AI infrastructure (Alphabet’s 2026 Capex is projected near $185 billion). Markets are increasingly demanding proof that this record spending is translating into immediate bottom-line growth. (Source: News1 / Reuters)
    • Labor Market Cooling: A jump in unemployment benefit applications and discouraging job market reports triggered a “risk-off” sentiment. This led to a sharp sell-off in growth assets and even caused Bitcoin to plunge as investors moved toward cash and defensive bonds. (Source: AP News / Investopedia)
    • The Fed’s Neutral Stance: The Federal Reserve has maintained interest rates at 3.5%–3.75%. While rate cuts occurred in late 2025, the current pause suggests a slower path to normalization, putting pressure on high-valuation software and semiconductor stocks like Qualcomm and AMD. (Source: J.P. Morgan / Schwab)

    📊 Portfolio Performance by Strategy Group (Day 10)

    This table organizes every stock in the portfolio, including domestic Korean ETFs and US-listed holdings.

    1. [Group 1] Nasdaq 100 Focused (Tech & Growth)

    TickerETF NameStrategyDaily ChgMy Return
    QLDProShares 2x Nasdaq 1002x Leverage-2.85%-10.16%
    494300KODEX US Nasdaq100 DailyCovered Call-1.89%-2.79%
    QQQMInvesco Nasdaq 100Index-1.42%-5.07%
    GPIQGS Nasdaq-100 CoreCovered Call-1.36%-5.07%
    JEPQJPMorgan Nasdaq EquityCovered Call-1.30%-4.71%
    QQQINEOS Nasdaq 100 High Inc.Covered Call-1.27%-5.37%

    2. [Group 2] S&P 500 Focused (Broad Market)

    TickerETF NameStrategyDaily ChgMy Return
    SSOProShares 2x S&P 5002x Leverage-2.52%-5.99%
    SPYMSPDR S&P 500 PortfolioIndex-1.28%-2.95%
    GPIXGS S&P 500 Core PremiumCovered Call-1.12%-3.37%
    JEPIJPMorgan Equity PremiumCovered Call-0.58%-0.62%

    3. [Group 3] Dividend, Bond & Specialty

    TickerETF NameStrategyDaily ChgMy Return
    473460KODEX US Stock Ant (Active)Active-2.05%-5.31%
    490600RISE US Div 100 DailyCovered Call-0.34%-0.59%
    SCHDSchwab US Dividend EquityDiv. Growth-0.13%+5.77%
    473330SOL US 30Yr TreasuryCovered Call-0.12%-2.44%

    🔍 Day 10 Insights: Protection in Action

    • Leverage Vulnerability: Today clearly showed the risk of QLD and SSO. With a -10.16% total return on QLD, the lack of dividends means there is no “safety net” when the index slides.
    • The Yield Shield: While the Nasdaq dropped sharply, Covered Call ETFs like JEPI (-0.58%) and RISE US Div 100 (-0.34%) showed much higher stability. The premiums earned from selling volatility act as a buffer against price depreciation.
    • Dividend Growth Reliability: SCHD remains our portfolio anchor, maintaining a positive +5.77% return despite the broad market sell-off. It continues to demonstrate why it is a legendary defensive asset.

    💡 Final Thought: Focus on the Cash Flow

    Market prices fluctuate, but our 2026 yield targets remain the focus. Even on a down day, your Covered Call holdings are busy generating the “rent” that will fund your future “buy the dip” opportunities.